At least one analyst is seeing Call of Duty on the decline.
Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia predicts that Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare, will sell 15 percent fewer copies in the fourth quarter of 2014 than Call of Duty: Ghosts did in the fourth quarter of 2013, according to Cinema Blend, or 17 million instead of 20 million.
Bhatia’s reasoning is that gamers were disappointed by Ghosts and may not take a chance on Advanced Warfare; that PS3 and Xbox 360 sales are down; and that some consumers are still on the fence about buying a PS4 or Xbox One. The analyst points to lower pre-orders for the new title.
On the other hand, Bhatia admits that Advanced Warfare may pull off an upset. Advanced Warfare’s new futuristic fighting seems to have better buzz than Ghosts, which was mainly known for getting branded “Call of Duty: Dog” because of its early marketing focus on a canine companion. And Battlefield: Hardline was pushed into 2015, which may give Call of Duty an advantage.
So what do you think? Is the crystal ball clear? Cloudy? Cracked? Discuss in our forums.