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Wasted effort

Discussion in 'Episode 311 - La Serpiente' started by Morgotha, Sep 18, 2017.

  1. Morgotha

    Morgotha Well-Known Member

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    OK, the ranch's water table is dry. It's not expected to come back. WHY put in the effort to go spend everything you have buying water so you can stay there another month when you could take all the water there is right now and LEAVE and go somewhere where there IS water?

    You've got plenty of vehicles and gas, if no one on the whole ranch has a map, go buy one from the reservation's gas station and drive to where the nearest big river is.
     
  2. yuke

    yuke Member

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    since all of Los Angeles has been leveled, I imagine there would be a lot of open space there. There is an argument that their current location is defensible, but yeah, so would any new place they could find.
     
  3. mistertrouble189

    mistertrouble189 Well-Known Member

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    A very good point. If you watch the sneak peek for 3x12 on AMC, Jake and Alicia talk exactly about this :) something about other survivalist camps they can go to I think? Subtitles were disabled so I can't tell.
     
  4. Jen7

    Jen7 Well-Known Member

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    The show? I agree.

    [​IMG]
     
  5. Znuts

    Znuts Member

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    I would have left the ranch a while ago. I would have stayed until I could scout out a better place to go and then take my people and leave.
     
  6. Sharpie61

    Sharpie61 Well-Known Member

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    Last nights episode mentioned more than once about giving the water, from the dam, back to the people. I have a suspicion that someone is going to blow the dam and lots of people will die. Maybe in the finale
     
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  7. GeorgeWest

    GeorgeWest New Member

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    The deal Madison made was for 10K gallons a month which might be a longer term solution if it can stand.

    Obviously there is a huge herd of walkers on the way. That might bind the Nation to the ranchers in defense of their common home.

    If I were them, I'd be heading northeast to the Great Basin near the Green River. I'd build a camp on top of a butte which could be easily defensible They'd have to lug water up the butte from the Green River, but that area is/was so sparsely populated as to be almost devoid of walkers.
     
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  8. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    Right. I think it was actually 10K per WEEK, but yes, this is a longer term solution, if the damn can hold. I think Madison is putting her apples in Daniel's basket, crossing her fingers he can manage that. And if you think about it, there are some advantages to getting your water remotely each week instead of living on top of it, because it makes your camp less desirable to would-be attackers who might be roaming the landscape searching for exactly that: a camp with its own source of water, that they can take over. Some ruffians that pass by may be less likely to kick you off and take over. The big thing they will be looking for is water, in this climate.

    Another advantage to staying is that everyone knows the area well. They know where to hunt, where to find the edible plants, the places to set up your army in case of a fight, the places to go for various types of supplies and other caches, etc. In addition, all the ranchers consider this their home, that they've worked years and decades to build, and are thus more likely to fight harder to keep it standing, than if they were to travel to some new place they might not be as invested in.
     
    #8 Neuropyramidal, Sep 18, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 18, 2017
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  9. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    Phew. This gets me off the hook of watching that Flintstone Kids show you keep nagging me about.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Jen7

    Jen7 Well-Known Member

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    I don't nag, I heavily suggest!
     
  11. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    I heavily suggest you ketchup!
     
  12. Morgotha

    Morgotha Well-Known Member

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    My mistake. This was supposed to be a post for the last episode where they were using their gold supply to buy water once - or were going to.

    The same principle stands though, IMO. Now in addition to need to truck in water they need a steady supply of fuel, since they probably are driving at least a couple hours each way in a water truck (probably getting about 7 miles to the gallon), and are giving up a good number of their guns and ammunition in the process. LOL, with the number of people in the ranch, they'd probably be better off arming both themselves AND the Indians and taking over the dam! How hard could it be for them to do if their snipers can shoot down a flying helicopter at night? Then people would bring food *to* them in exchange for water, and they could take all the hot showers and use all the electricity they wanted.

    How long will it take for the townspeople to see the truck leaving North every week? (well, maybe a long time since they don't just walk to the other side of the dam and draw their own water from the reservoir). How long will it take for some thirsty people with rifles to "divert" it? Nope, I'd rather be sitting on my own water rather than trusting someone to truck it in to me after I've given them the guns they want to fight me with.

    Ruffians would *assume* you had your own water there and attack anyways. Why wouldn't they? How else would you live there? And if they told the ruffians you didn't have any water and were getting your water trucked in every week on the one road from here to there? Not a very secure situation. A group of ruffians big enough to attack your ranch with a decent chance of taking it over would be more than enough to kill off your road - convoy picking up water every week.

    Also, these ranchers didn't work for years and decades to build this ranch, it was Otto's home. They all came here after the fall of civilization, which is why they are living in Winnebagos and not their own homes there.

    Nope, I still think it would be better to take the 10000 gallons of water they just got in the truck and set out for somewhere with its own water supply. How far would they have to go?

    Looking at the map, where is Otto's ranch likely to be? Probably around the "golden acorn casino", IMO. If it was more Northward, they would have had to drive by several lakes to get to Tijuana, and his ranch isn't in Mexico. Eh, it would still be closer to drive to lake morena or barrett lake in the first place and not go to Tijuana at all. Both of these lakes supply San Diego with water right now, so they're sure to have plenty for you and every other survivor you are likely to meet. I get the Mad Max change in priorities, etc., but don't think they are acting very wisely.
     
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  13. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    they have trucks going in and out of there all the time, according to Daniel. Seeing a truck leaving north wouldn't be the issue. Just holding the dam in general would be the issue, and Madison decided to trust in Daniel.

    Of course they would know the difference. If they lived in that area, which they likely did if they were now plundering it, they would know what to look for to assess the water supply. And if they found out it was shipped in weekly be another community, they would have no reason to think that they could attack and take over the ranch and assume that would be okay with the water supplier, lol, since the water supplier was apparently on good terms with the original ranch people.

    False. While its true that some of the families came later, It was stated in dialogue that many of the families came to the ranch long before the fall of civilization. It was advertised as a place to go to get off the grid. It was their homes long before that, and some of them even lived there long enough to be part of killing Walker's father, uncle, and grandfather, long ago.
     
    #13 Neuropyramidal, Sep 19, 2017
    Last edited: Sep 19, 2017
  14. Morgotha

    Morgotha Well-Known Member

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    The "going North" part *would* be the issue as Lola herself said.

    There are a lot of people on the ranch. If there were a similar sized group (large enough to pose a serious threat of taking over the ranch) and lived nearby, Otto would already know about them, and likely would have asked for their help in fighting off the Indians as a threat to them both. Also, it's laughable to say they could assess their water supply. Otto's *own people* didn't know their water situation! Only the water survey told the true tale. You had a curious interpretation about the ruffians taking over the ranch and the water deliveries continuing. I doubt that would happen, but am happy to listen to your explanation of why that would be.


    Maybe. I didn't get that impression. I thought the four founders were really there all the time, but the others used it maybe as a camp, but more as a place that as preppers they could invest in for a backup against the fall of society. And seriously, we're supposed to believe the ranch is in the middle of nowhere, right? If they were living there, what did all these families do for a living? Commute 2 or 3 hours to work each way every day?

    You haven't commented on the whole "let's go to Mexico for water, rather than to the lake next door" bit, so I assume you agree that's not rational. Why then from a plot perspective do they want to keep the Mexican side of the border in the show?
     
  15. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    Nah, it *wouldn't*, she was just making excuses because the situation at the damn in general is rocky and she didn't want a new wildcard in the mix. If the truck going north was really such a big single issue, she wouldn't have almost immediately changed her mind and not only agreed to it, but even agreed to send it weekly.



    That's because they didn't look, the majority of people stay inside the fence. Of course people can assess the water situation. Walker understood when Madison took him to look at it. A water survey gives you more exact figures, but just looking at it told the bigger story.




    You're really stretching here. Some people lived there longer, some came later. Not all after the apocalypse, as you claimed.The point remains its something they've built together over a long time, even the ones who only lived their part time, so something they would fight harder for. And whether they show the Mexican plot on the show doesn't invalidate the decision regarding the ranch. There are pluses and minuses to both, is the point.
     
  16. Morgotha

    Morgotha Well-Known Member

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    This is what they built over decades?

    [​IMG]

    A barbed-wire fence, a garden, a grass lot with a bunch of tents, and a house. Probably at least two bunkers, one for storage, one for your kids to use drugs in (unless it's different entrances to the same bunker). I think they have a guard tower. Some communal tents.

    Not really decades of work, more like a year.

    What I *do* give them credit for is buying a helicopter and having at least one pilot for it. How many people do that? Oh, and plenty of guns, although most there don't seem to be able to shoot, or want to, which seems odd for doomsday preppers. I'd have thought that when the Indians showed up they'd all be grabbing their guns and Bibles like Obama said, but I guess not. They apparently wanted to BUY guns, but then leaved them locked away even when their lives were on the line.

    Oh, and you're wrong about the water survey, IMO. They get their water from *wells*, not that pond. In that part of the country it might just be a seasonal thing that comes in the winter and dries up in the spring. Their well going dry? That's a whole other kettle of fish. You can't tell if a well is going dry by looking at the ground from a distance like a raider would do. If it was just the pond they got their water from, why would they need a survey? They could go out there and stick a yardstick in the mud and do the same thing.
     
  17. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    You're really grasping now. There's some solid structures there, and its not only the building of it, but the constant maintaining of it . It takes a lot of work to maintain a ranch over years and decades. You dont' build it and then sunbathe all day lol. They've put years and decades of work into building and maintaining its self suffiency, and would thus be more inclined to defend it.


    you're slipping here too. Of course someone who knows the area and these water supplies can make an assessment about it. Not only that, the ranches would tell them there situation and low and behold.........ta da.......there'd be a huge water truck parked right there on the property showing the ruffians that it was true they were using outside water lol.
     
  18. Sharpie61

    Sharpie61 Well-Known Member

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    Wells are checked by regularly checking to see if the well maintains the same amount of water. Kind of like a dip stick.
    My grandma had one in the backyard, and I watched my uncle check it once. The "dip stick" was a rope with a weight on the end. My uncle noticed that the water didn't reach the green tape. Meaning the well was going dry.
    Someone came out and dug a new one and my grandparents finally got plumbing added to the house.
     
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  19. Neuropyramidal

    Neuropyramidal Well-Known Member

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    Exactly. It would take them no time to assess the general water situation.
     
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  20. Morgotha

    Morgotha Well-Known Member

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    That would be true if it was an actual working "ranch", with a hundred cows or so, or horses, etc., it's not so much true if the "ranch" is an alcoholic old man sitting on a bunker full of canned food, lol.


    Nope. No way to tell what their water situation was. For all the raiders would know, they are *selling* water to someone else lol.
     

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